Journal of Machine and Computing


A Comparative Analysis of IoT based Network Anomaly Detection and Prediction Using Vector Autoregressive Models



Journal of Machine and Computing

Received On : 18 June 2023

Revised On : 30 August 2023

Accepted On : 02 November 2023

Published On : 05 January 2024

Volume 04, Issue 01

Pages : 127-137


Abstract


This research provides a comparative analysis of the use of Vector Autoregressive models for network anomaly detection and prediction. It starts by giving a brief overview of the models and going over the two versions that are available for network anomaly detection. Ultimately, the study offers an empirical assessment of the two types of models, just considering how well they detect and forecast anomalies overall. The results show that the unmarried-node anomaly detection performance of the model is superior. Simultaneously, the Adaptive Learning version is particularly effective in identifying anomalies among a few nodes. The fundamental reasons for the differences in the two fashions' overall performance are also examined in this research. This work provides a comparative analysis of two widely utilized algorithmic approaches: vector autoregressive models and community anomaly detection and prediction. Each method's effectiveness is assessed using two different network datasets: one based on real-world global measurements of latency and mobility ranges, and the other focused on a fictional community. The study also examines the trade-offs between employing the versus other modern and classic techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, and Artificial Neural Networks for network anomaly detection. Finally, it provides an overview of the advantages and disadvantages of each technique as well as suggestions for improving performance.


Keywords


Autoregressive, Network Security, Intrusion Detection, Cyber Security, Network Monitoring.


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Acknowledgements


This study was supported by the University Innovation Support Project through Sanmyung University in 2023.


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No funding was received to assist with the preparation of this manuscript.


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The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.


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Cite this article


Ok-Hue Cho and Jongseong Choi, “A Comparative Analysis of IoT based Network Anomaly Detection and Prediction Using Vector Autoregressive Models”, Journal of Machine and Computing, pp. 127-137, January 2024. doi: 10.53759/7669/jmc202404013.


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© 2024 Ok-Hue Cho and Jongseong Choi. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.